GBP/USD Price Analysis – Sep 11, 2023

Daily Price Outlook

During the Asian trading session on Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair managed to recover from a three-month low. However, the recovery was driven by a modest decline in the US dollar, which had previously reached a multi-month high. The British pound gained strength against the US dollar because the dollar weakened slightly, prompting traders to place strong position.

Hawkish BoJ Comments and Mixed Chinese Data Impacting GBP/USD

It is worth noting that the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda made some hawkish remarks over the weekend, boosting demand for the Japanese Yen (JPY) and putting pressure on the US Dollar (USD). Additionally, a positive vibe in the stock markets pulled the safe-haven US dollar away from its highest level since March, which supported the GBP/USD pair.

Over the weekend, data showed that China's consumer prices rose in August, and the Producer Price Index decline slowed down. This suggests that China's economy might be stabilizing after a rough patch this year. Investors are also hopeful for more stimulus from China. However, some indicators show that China's manufacturing is still struggling, and the growth in the services sector is slowing down. This mixed economic picture could temper market optimism.

Hence, the hawkish BoJ comments boosted the Japanese Yen and pressured the US Dollar, aiding the GBP/USD pair.

Central Bank Actions Impacting GBP/USD

Across the ocean, the belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its tougher stance is likely to restrain the US Dollar's fall and limit GBP/USD gains. Market players think the Fed will keep interest rates high for a while. Some officials even suggest raising rates more than needed, boosting US Treasury bond yields and supporting the USD.

Meanwhile, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey warned about ongoing high inflation, hinting at more rate hikes. However, he also hinted that the BoE might be close to stopping rate hikes. This may hinder any significant rise in GBP/USD, at least for now.

GBP/USD - Technical Analysis

The GBP/USD pair is revisiting the 1.2505 mark. Recent higher lows observed indicate a potential ascent in the upcoming trading sessions. If the pair exceeds the aforementioned level, it is poised to approach 1.2625.

Today's outlook is inclined towards a bullish trend, bolstered by favorable indications from the stochastic oscillator. It's important to note, however, that if the pair cannot surpass the 1.2505 threshold, it might revert to its predominant bearish trajectory with an aim towards 1.2395.

We project the GBP/USD's trading spectrum for the day to span between a 1.2430 support and a 1.2590 resistance. The day's anticipated trend is bullish.